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fiscal authorities can obtain temporary money financing of deficits. During a crisis domestic interest rates increase …, reflecting the expected devaluation. Rather than selling debt at punitive rates, fiscal authorities will turn to temporary money … debt maturing during the crisis is sufficiently small - a condition that can be met by reducing the stock of public debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791449
models (which include the current account) might be unstable because of the cumulation of debt service obligations, and that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067614
Regressions of ex-post changes in floating exchange rates on appropriate interest differentials typically imply that … the high interest rate currency tends to appreciate - the `forward discount puzzle'. Using data from the European Monetary …, deviations from uncovered interest parity appear to vary in a way that is dependent upon the exchange rate regime. By using the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067597
Alexander Swoboda is one of the originators of the bipolar view that capital mobility creates pressure for countries to abandon intermediate exchange rate arrangements in favor of greater flexibility and harder pegs. This paper takes another look at the evidence for this hypothesis using two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498132
restrained at the beginning of the period by the debt overhang associated with reparations and by the post World War I disruption … loans to Central Europe and reconstruction of the gold standard system was needed to initiate long-term capital flows. A … 1940s and 1950s. I find no evidence that countries which interrupted debt service in the 1930s found it more difficult to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005281350
appear to benefit from the ability to avail themselves of an orderly restructuring process. In contrast, less credit … restructuring are offset by the moral hazard and default risk associated with the presence of renegotiation-friendly loan provisions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067390
further loans to help service the debt. Since deposits are mainly short-term and loans are long-term, the short-run demand for … liabilities dominated the United States capital account. These were also years when United States banks were locked into large … long-term foreign dollar loans to developing countries which, to make matters worse, were highly risky and often required …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662155
Does the fiscal multiplier depend on the exchange rate regime and, if so, how strongly? To address this question, we first estimate a panel vector autoregression (VAR) model on time-series data for OECD countries. We identify the effects of unanticipated government spending shocks in countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083977
, showing that the long-term real interest rate necessarily rises if inflation rises on impact, in response to an increase in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008784752
In this paper, we study the link between profitability, fiscal policy and exchange rate regimes. We are particularly interested in adding realism to the treatment of fiscal policy by looking explicitly at its individual components. We show that the different types of government spending and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114338