Showing 1 - 10 of 82
market-based measures of expectations are similar to survey-based forecasts although the market-based measures somewhat more … in surveys of professional forecasts survive in equilibrium, and that these markets are remarkably well calibrated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656457
combine the best forecasting tools with the possibility of incorporating their own judgement. In this context, we provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005034764
This Paper proposes a new forecasting method that exploits information from a large panel of time series. The method is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661541
exchange can be usefully exploited in forecasting future spot exchange rates. I use signal-extraction techniques, based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661737
We analyse a rich cross-country data set that contains information on attitudes toward trade as well as a broad range of socio-demographic, and other, indicators. We find that pro-trade preferences are significantly and robustly correlated with an individual's level of human capital, in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791973
forecasting power for exchange rates. Using one year of high frequency data collected via a live feed from Reuters for three major …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004972168
than is the dividend yield, the earnings yield, the dividend payout ratio and several other popular forecasting variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123769
Using novel real-time data on a broad set of economic fundamentals for five major US dollar exchange rates over the recent float, we employ a predictive procedure that allows the relationship between exchange rates and fundamentals to evolve over time in a very general fashion. Our key findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123971
produce large reductions in the out-of-sample prediction mean squared error and provides a useful alternative to forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124019
monetary policy decisions and have satisfactory out-of-sample forecasting properties. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124113