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It is sometimes argued that central banks influence the private economy in the short run through controlling a specific component of high powered money, not its total amount. Using a structural VAR approach, this paper evaluates this claim empirically, in the context of the Japanese economy. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789026
estimation. Counterfactual analysis uses the disentangled regimes in policy and shocks to understand their importance for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791862
independent evidence that oil supply shocks actually raised the deflator (as opposed to the CPI). The oil supply shock view also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124085
policy shocks. For each shock, we examine the dynamic effects on the labour market, the importance of the shock for labour … shock. We document that labour market indicators display "hump-shaped" responses to the identified shocks. Technology shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123759
This paper investigates the international dimension of productivity and demand shocks to US manufacturing. Identifying shocks with sign restrictions based on standard theory predictions we find that productivity gains in manufacturing - our measure of tradables - have substantial aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124152
This paper uses long-run restrictions on a three-variable system containing output growth, real wage growth and the differenced unemployment rate, to isolate three 'structural' shocks which drove business cycle fluctuations in Spain during 1970-94. These shocks are interpreted as aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124406
positive technology shock; and (c) measured productivity increases temporarily in response to a positive demand shock. More …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656273
We derive necessary and sufficient conditions under which a set of variables is informationally sufficient, i.e. it contains enough information to estimate the structural shocks with a VAR model. Based on such conditions, we suggest a procedure to test for informational sufficiency. Moreover, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854473
separate shock which would cause exchange rate jumps in the short run, we hope to assess the extent to which such jumps would … EU member would suffer from the surrender of independent monetary policy. Similarly, we try to identify a separate shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114348
We provide evidence on the nature of the monetary policy transmission mechanism. To identify policy shocks in a setting with both economic and financial variables, we combine traditional monetary vector autoregression (VAR) analysis with high frequency identification (HFI) of monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084383