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Structural vector autoregressive (VAR) models were introduced in 1980 as an alternative to traditional large-scale macroeconometric models when the theoretical and empirical support for these models became increasingly doubtful. Initial applications of the structural VAR methodology often were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009201117
We develop a structural model of the global market for crude oil that for the first time explicitly allows for shocks to the speculative demand for oil as well as shocks to the flow demand and flow supply. The forward-looking element of the real price of oil is identified with the help of data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008530341
The effect of business tax and regulation on growth, together with potential effects of government spending on education and R&D, is embodied in a model of a small open economy with growth choices. The structural model is estimated on post-war panel data for 76 countries and the bootstrap is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124367
In this paper we specify and estimate a structural model of competition for the European airline industry to assess the potential for price reductions if competition increases. The model has two distinguishing features: First, we allow for firms to make short- and long-run decisions by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498149
We study the contribution of the stock of money to the macroeconomic outcomes of the 1990s in Japan using a small scale structural model. Likelihood-based estimates of the parameters are provided and time stabilities of the structural relationships analyzed. Real balances are statistically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008557013
simulation methods. We discuss model identification and base model selection on marginal likelihoods. A simulation study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497905
This paper provides a structural empirical analysis of Dutch auctions of houseplants at the flower auction in Aalsmeer, the Netherlands. The data set is unique for Dutch auctions in the sense that it includes observations of all losing bids in an interval adjacent to the winning bid. The size of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656139
Using Bayesian Markov chain clustering analysis we investigate career paths of Austrian women after their first birth. This data-driven method allows characterizing long-term career paths of mothers over up to 19 years by transitions between parental leave, non-employment and different forms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084517
Tests for long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) may lack power with sample periods corresponding to the span of the recent float, leading researchers to use more powerful multivariate unit root tests. We point out a potential problem with such tests: joint non-stationarity of real exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791733
qualitatively to the same result as application to EMS currencies. Simulation evidence suggests that the closer the dominant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791773