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Monetary Policy in an Open Economy: The Differential Impact on Exporting and Non-Exporting Firms
Ber, Hedva; Blass, Asher; Yosha, Oved - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2002
Using firm-level data, we provide evidence that, although monetary policy affects real investment, the effect operates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504673
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Fiscal Policy, Profits and Investment
Alesina, Alberto F; Ardagna, Silvia; Perotti, Roberto; … - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1999
This paper evaluates the effects of fiscal policy on investment using a panel of OECD countries. In particular, we … investigate how different types of fiscal policy affect profits and, as a result, investment. We find a sizeable negative effect … of public spending - and in particular of its public wage component - on business investment. This result is consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791207
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Explaining Forward Exchange Bias .... Intra-day
Lyons, Richard K; Rose, Andrew K - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1994
Intra-day interest rates are zero. Consequently, a foreign exchange dealer can short a vulnerable currency in the morning, close this position in the afternoon, and never face an interest cost. This tactic might seem especially attractive in times of crisis, since it suggests an immunity to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124023
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Money Illusion and Housing Frenzies
Brunnermeier, Markus K; Julliard, Christian - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2007
A reduction in inflation can fuel run-ups in housing prices if people suffer from money illusion. For example, investors who decide whether to rent or buy a house by simply comparing monthly rent and mortgage payments do not take into account that inflation lowers future real mortgage costs. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067397
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The Wealth-Consumption Ratio
Lustig, Hanno; van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn; Verdelhan, Adrien - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2012
We derive new estimates of total wealth, the returns on total wealth, and the wealth effect on consumption. We estimate the prices of aggregate risk from bond yields and stock returns using a no-arbitrage model. Using these risk prices, we compute total wealth as the price of a claim to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083953
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What Calls to ARMs? International Evidence on Interest Rates and the Choice of Adjustable Rate Mortgages
Badarinza, Cristian; Campbell, John Y; Ramadorai, Tarun - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2014
The relative popularity of adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) and fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) varies considerably both across countries and over time. We ask how movements in current and expected future interest rates affect the share of ARMs in total mortgage issuance. Using a nine-country panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084239
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Monetary transmission in low income countries
Mishra, Prachi; Montiel, Peter J; Spilimbergo, Antonio - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2010
This paper reviews the monetary transmission mechanism in low income countries (LICs). We use monetary transmission in advanced and emerging markets as a benchmark to identify aspects of the transmission mechanism that may operate differently in LICs. In particular, we focus on the effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008466328
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Sovereign CDS and Bond Pricing Dynamics in the Euro-area
Palladini, Giorgia; Portes, Richard - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2011
This analysis tests the price discovery relationship between sovereign CDS premia and bond yield spreads on the same reference entity. The theoretical no-arbitrage relationship between the two credit spreads is confronted with daily data from six Euro-area countries over the period 2004-2011. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009365646
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The Forecasting Performance of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap
Marcellino, Massimiliano; Musso, Alberto - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2010
This paper provides real time evidence on the usefulness of the euro area output gap as a leading indicator for inflation and growth. A genuine real-time data set for the euro area is used, including vintages of several alternative gap estimates. It turns out that, despite some difference across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468583
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The Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap
Marcellino, Massimiliano; Musso, Alberto - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2010
This paper provides evidence on the reliability of euro area real-time output gap estimates, including those provided by the IMF, OECD and EC and a set of model based measures. A genuine real-time data set is used, including vintages of several sets of euro area output gap estimates available...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468648