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the incidence of conflict to circumstances, institutions and features of the underlying economy and polity. We use this … model to derive testable predictions and to interpret the cross-sectional and times-series variations in civil conflict. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661970
We consider the properties of perfectly discriminating contests in which players' abilities are stochastic, but become common knowledge before efforts are expended. Players whose expected ability is lower than that of their rivals may still earn a positive expected payoff from participating in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124335
Conventional wisdom in economic history suggests that conflict between countries can be enormously disruptive of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504411
single-tier organizations, even though they offer more scope for organizational conflict and have more executives that can be … influenced. These benefits derive from two effects. First, part of the conflict in multi-divisional organizations takes place on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504716
Why is there delay in contests? In this Paper we follow and extend the line of reasoning of Carl von Clausewitz to explain delay. For a given contest technology, delay may occur if there is an asymmetry between defense and attack, if the expected change in relative strengths is moderate, and if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504736
group is dominant. We provide a test of a key aspect of our model using data from La Violencia, a political conflict in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656168
We construct a dynamic theory of civil conflict hinging on inter-ethnic trust and trade. The model economy is … beliefs on the average propensity to trade of the other group. Since conflict disrupts trade, the onset of a conflict signals … after each conflict episode. Third, "accidental" conflicts that do not reflect economic fundamentals can lead to a permanent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003383
This paper uses detailed information on the latitude and longitude of conflict events in Sub-Saharan African countries … country-level, these shocks have an insignificant impact on the overall probability of conflict outbreak, but do affect the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083429
mining activity on the probability/intensity of conflict at the local level. This is both true for low-level violence (riots … conflict. We also find that secessionist insurgencies are more likely in mining areas, which is in line with recent theories of … secessionist conflict. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084702
We present a detailed, high-frequency dataset on the civil conflict in Colombia during the period 1988-2002. We briefly … pattern over time of conflict actions and intensity for all sides involved in the confrontation. We also describe the pattern …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662139