sovereign default premia, government consumption, and output. We find that whether austerity pays off depends on a) initial … premia in benign times. These findings pertain to the short run. Austerity always pays off in the long run, but particularly …

After the Global Financial Crisis a controversial rush to fiscal austerity followed in many countries. Yet research on … the effects of austerity on macroeconomic aggregates was and still is unsettled, mired by the difficulty of identifying … novel approach, we show that austerity is always a drag on growth, and especially so in depressed economies: a one percent …