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predicts lower future pensions to reduce fertility, while the 'old-age security' to increase it. Our empirical analysis … identifies a clear and robust positive effect of less generous future pensions on post-reform fertility. These findings are … consistent with 'old-age security' even for contemporary fertility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792505
failure that may lead to inefficiently low equilibrium fertility and therefore to a need for government intervention. The …) model with fertility choice and altruism, and model ownership by introducing a minimum constraint on transfers from parents … transfer floor is binding, fertility choices are inefficient. We show how this inefficiency relates to dynamic inefficiency in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468613
In the last century most countries have experienced both an increase in pension spending and a decline in fertility. We … argue that the interplay of pension generosity and development of capital markets is crucial to understand fertility … children, thus relaxing financial (saving) constraints and reducing fertility. We build a simple two-period OLG model to show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123857
It is argued that a PAYGO system may have useful allocative functions in that it serves as an insurance against not having children and as an enforcement device for 'rotten kids' who are unwilling to pay their parents a pension. It is true that the system has a moral hazard effect in terms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498192
This paper studies the design of pension schemes in a society where fertility is endogenous and parents differ in their …, fertility must be subsidized at the margin to correct for the externality that accompanies fertility. In a world of asymmetric … offsetting tax on fertility depending on whether the redistribution is towards people with more or less children. In the former …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792304
In this Paper, we study the role of subsidies to fertility in ensuring the political viability of unfunded social … older generations, and in turn choose current levels of fertility subsidies, and future levels of social security benefits … converge to a steady state lower than simple extrapolation of current trends would imply, and fertility will rebound with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123867
We estimate the portfolio effect of changes in social security wealth exploiting a decade of Italian pension reforms as a source of exogenous variation. The Italian Survey of Household Income and Wealth records detailed portfolio data and elicits expectations of retirement outcomes, thus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004973973
This paper analyzes a recent ballot in which two virtually identical popular initiatives, both demanding a decrease in the legal age of retirement in Switzerland, led to differences in approval rates of nearly seven percentage points. Based on this unique natural experiment, the existence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504768
Non-compliance of firms with tax regulations is a major constraint on state capacity in developing countries. We focus on an arguably under-appreciated dimension of non-compliance: under-reporting of wages by formal firms to evade payroll taxes. We develop a simple partial-equilibrium model of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083313
An opinion poll on a representative sample of Italian citizens suggests that it does. We focus on reforms that would lengthen retirement age and/or cut pension benefits. After controlling for individual features of the respondent, we find that individuals who are more informed about the costs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662128