Showing 1 - 10 of 117
implied correlation based on portfolio downside risk measures that does not suffer from this bias. These unbiased quantile … correlation estimates are directly applicable to portfolio optimization and to risk management techniques in general. This simple …A number of studies have provided evidence of increased correlation in global financial market returns during bear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124110
Testing the hypothesis that international equity market correlation increases in volatile times is a difficult exercise … and misleading results have often been reported in the past because of a spurious relationship between correlation and … volatility. This paper focuses on extreme correlation, that is to say the correlation between returns in either the negative or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504611
In many economic applications involving comparisons of multivariate distributions, supermodularity of an objective function is a natural property for capturing a preference for greater interdependence. One multivariate distribution dominates another according to the `supermodular stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083601
derive empirical predictions for the direction of correlation and for whether governance is stronger or weaker with multiple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084086
We examine the role of non-economic partnerships in promoting international economic exchange. Since far-sighted countries are more willing to join costly international partnerships such as environmental treaties, environmental engagement tends to encourage international lending. Countries with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666580
consensus. Our model deepens the discussion of economic risk and political risk in fiscal federalism, and highlights the related …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009283396
, agents bargain over which one to implement. A consensus requirement can (but need not) induce the efficient balance between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083881
political uncertainty commands a risk premium whose magnitude is larger in poorer economic conditions. Political uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320399
We set out a reference chronology for annual UK inflation, identifying nine complete cycles between 1958 and 1990. Inflation over this period is asymmetric, falling more quickly than it rises. Leading indicators are also proposed, with composite shorter and longer leading indicators constructed....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789113
Shocks to the marginal efficiency of investment are the most important drivers of business cycle fluctuations in US output and hours. Moreover, these disturbances drive prices higher in expansions, like a textbook demand shock. We reach these conclusions by estimating a DSGE model with several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791592