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We examine strategic information transmission in a controlled laboratory experiment of a cheap talk game with one … theoretical predictions that we observe tend to disappear with experience, and learning is faster precisely in the games where …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008784698
instrument or the size of the average treatment effect. With experiments, violation is more likely if the treatment and control …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792073
A central tenet of inflation targeting is that establishing and maintaining well-anchored inflation expectations are essential. In this paper, we reexamine the role of key elements of the inflation targeting framework towards this end, in the context of an economy where economic agents have an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791794
We present a decision theoretic framework with agents that are learning about the behavior of market determined … about equilibrium prices, so that learning about price behavior, as in Adam, Marcet and Nicolini (2008), is fully consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008577809
We analyze a long-term contracting problem involving common uncertainty about a parameter capturing the productivity of the relationship, and featuring a hidden action for the agent. We develop an approach that works for any utility function when the parameter and noise are normally distributed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008784751
We study a model where some investors (“hedgers”) are bad at information processing, while others (“speculators”) have superior information-processing ability and trade purely to exploit it. The disclosure of financial information induces a trade externality: if speculators refrain from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083365
compared to events occurring in the more distant past. This paper analyzes the implications of such learning for stock pricing … be approximated by an economy with a representative agent who updates his beliefs following a constant-gain learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083418
Under rational expectations monetary policy is generally highly effective in stabilizing the economy. Aggregate demand management operates through the expectations hypothesis of the term structure --- anticipated movements in future short-term interest rates control current demand. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083648
-referential system, we find that learning dynamics lead to selection of one of the two models. However, there are parameter regions for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083791
This Paper shows that price rigidity evolves in an economy populated by imperfectly rational agents who experiment with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661497