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model, covering a panel of EU countries, and derives the implied long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667015
inflation and a permanent reduction in the level of unemployment. In short, we derive a microfounded long-run downward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791529
This paper estimates the NAIRU (standing for the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment) as a parameter that … varies over time. The NAIRU is the unemployment rate that is consistent with a constant rate of inflation. Its value is … determined in an econometric model in which the inflation rate depends on its own past values (‘inertia’), demand shocks proxied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123935
curve for China and show that the output gap, the exchange rate, and inflation expectations play important roles in …This paper models Chinese inflation using an output gap Phillips curve. Inflation modelling for the world’s sixth … explaining inflation. We adjust for structural change in the economy where possible and estimate regressions for rolling sample …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656372
Import competition from China is pervasive in the sense that for many good categories, the competitive environment that … pronounced increase of aggregate US producer price inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145441
We use evidence from the term structure of inflation expectations implicit in the nominal yields and survey forecasts … of inflation to address the question of whether or not monetary policy is effective. We construct a model that …-neutral, subjective, and objective probability measures. We extract private sector expectations of inflation from this model and establish …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662095
This Paper estimates a small New-Keynesian model with imperfect information and optimal discretionary policy using data for the euro area. The model is used to assess the usefulness of monetary aggregates and unit labour costs as information variables for monetary policy. The estimates reveal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666627
stable rates of inflation in many countries. Consequently, the main goal of this Paper is to offer an overview of the main … policy issues arising in a low inflation environment and their practical relevance so as to identify the main challenges … nominal wage or price rigidities? What does the low inflation environment imply about the relative importance and effects of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666924
competitiveness. A formal theory of inflation in the euro-zone based on an open-economy version of the New Keynesian model is used to … shown that, in effect, this is an inflation tax, requiring high inflation countries to make transfers to low inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789110
This paper explores the hypothesis that the non-German members of the European Monetary System (EMS) draw benefits from the system because of the monetary discipline that it imposes upon them. The hypothesis explains the dominant position of Germany in the EMS and is consistent with the evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791579