persistence. This view is questioned in the paper using German data on unemployment. A new class of time-series models, the …

framework for our model, including model identification, model estimation and selection, bias correction, model diagnostic check … asset prices, such as short-term persistence and volatility clustering of unconditional returns. …

be held constant in the face of a domestic inflation. In this circumstance, import duties and export subsidies would have … in line with domestic inflation. Unless such a passive policy is accompanied by the elimination of trade barriers …

much sharper rise in inflation than measured by the official price indices, whose quality was called into question. In this … determinants. Since these data do not rely on official inflation statistics, they provide an independent check for the latter. We … not recorded by official inflation statistics. We do not find evidence in support of this hypothesis. …

government to maintain a socially efficient policy of zero inflation for most of the game, without any formal precommitment … supports the results of Backus and Driffill and of Barro, in that the uncertainty induces low or zero inflation outcomes in the …

expected means of future interest rates, exchange rates and inflation. More recently, these methods have been refined to rely …

producers. I apply these results to a model of inflation. I find that the model can fit the quantitative facts on post …-war inflation remarkably well, that it is a good forecaster of future inflation, and that it survives the Lucas critique by fitting … also the pre-war facts on inflation moderately well. …