Showing 1 - 10 of 208
This Paper develops a test of contagion in financial markets based on bivariate correlation analysis, which generalizes existing tests, and applies it to the international effects of the Hong Kong stock market crisis of October 1997. Contagion is defined as a structural break in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791976
An important question in international finance is to what extent stock return volatility is influenced by country location, industry affiliation, and global factors. This Paper develops a new methodology to measure these effects, in which portfolios mimicking ‘pure’ country and industry...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067673
The preferred risk habitat hypothesis, introduced here, is that individual investors select stocks with volatilities … commensurate with their risk aversion; more risk-averse individuals pick lower-volatility stocks. The investors' portfolio … stocks are sold they are replaced by stocks of similar volatilities, and the more risk averse customers indeed hold less …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067451
This is the first Paper that looks at regional tax competition within one single country. In many countries in Europe, regions within a country differ substantially in their economic development and attractiveness to firms. Belgium is a typical example of a country where the economic situation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661436
accommodates forecasts over multiple horizons from multiple surveys and Treasury yields by allowing for differences between risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662095
I examine the effectiveness of exchange rate intervention within the context of a Markov-switching model for the real exchange rate. The probability of switching between stable and unstable regimes depends non-linearly upon the amount of intervention, the degree of misalignment and the duration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789130
Recent tests for the convergence hypothesis derive from regressing average growth rates on initial levels: a negative initial level coefficient is interpreted as convergence. These tests turn out to be plagued by Francis Galton's classical fallacy of regression towards the mean. Using a dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791236
This Paper asks the question of the impact of institutions on trade and tries to estimate the potential for trade increase between CIS, Central Eastern European countries and the EU. The latter is computed using the gravity equation and the procedure introduced by Hausman and Taylor (1981). It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791826
In situations where a sequence of forecasts is observed, a common strategy is to examine ‘rationality’ conditional on a given loss function. We examine this from a different perspective - supposing that we have a family of loss functions indexed by unknown shape parameters, then given the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791975
This paper evaluates, in the context of economic geography estimates, the magnitude of the distortions arising from the choice of zoning system, which is also known as the Modifiable Areal Unit Problem (MAUP). We consider three standard economic geography exercises (the analysis of spatial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792469