Showing 1 - 10 of 458
situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123620
pronounced increase of aggregate US producer price inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145441
unemployment-inflation tradeoff might indicate not something to be exploited but instead only policy-makers' correctly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067633
competition to influence domestic inflation. By comparing the unrestricted and restricted specifications, we provide evidence that … foreign competition plays an important role in accounting for the behavior of inflation in the traded goods sector. Our … inflation in the 1990s. Our results also provide evidence against demand curves with a constant elasticity in the context of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008558592
This Paper reviews recent econometric work on factor models in large cross-sections of time series. In this literature, traditional factor analysis is adapted to develop parsimonious estimation methods for high dimension time series models. The review covers problems of consistency and rates –...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498094
In this Paper, we study the short-run and long-run comovement between prices and real activity in the G7 countries during the postwar period using VAR forecast errors and frequency domain filters. We find that there are several patterns of the correlation coefficients that are the same in all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666876
We study the inflation uncertainty reported by individual forecasters in the Survey of Professional Forecasters 1969 … asset pricing. We find that inflation uncertainty fluctuates over time in a way that traditional time series models fail to … capture. Instead, uncertainty is highly correlated with the level of inflation, in particular with recent positive inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789160
It has been widely argued that inflation persistence since WWII has been widespread and durable and that it can only be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792133
We investigate whether the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level can deliver a reasonable explanation for UK inflation in … was accommodative. The model is tested for its implied cointegration between inflation and government spending and for its … dynamics by using the method of indirect inference, under which the model’s simulated behaviour is compared with the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468577
inflation and growth. A genuine real-time data set for the euro area is used, including vintages of several alternative gap … clearly to a lack of any usefulness of real-time output gap estimates for inflation forecasting both in the short term (one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468583