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Skewness Risk Premium: Theory and Empirical Evidence

Lehnert, Thorsten; Lin, Yuehao; Wolff, Christian C - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2013

Using an equilibrium asset and option pricing model in a production economy under jump diffusion, we show theoretically that the aggregated excess market returns can be predicted by the skewness risk premium, which is constructed to be the difference between the physical and the risk-neutral...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084225

Basic Principles Of Asset Pricing Theory: Evidence From Large-Scale Experimental Financial Markets

Bossaerts, Peter; Plott, Charles - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2000

-markets model, and the Sharpe-Lintner-Mossin Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). This framework enabled us to measure how far our … discovered swift convergence towards equilibrium prices of Arrow and Debreu's model or the CAPM. This discovery is significant … walk, in favour of stochastic convergence towards CAPM and Arrow-Debreu equilibrium. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662411

Riding the South Sea Bubble

Temin, Peter; Voth, Hans-Joachim - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2004

The efficient markets hypothesis implies that, in the presence of rational investors, bubbles cannot develop. We analyse the trading behaviour of a sophisticated investor, a London goldsmith bank, during the South Sea bubble in 1720. The bank believed the stock to be overvalued, yet found it...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136583

Investor Sentiment and Pre-Issue Markets

Cornelli, Francesca; Goldreich, David; Ljungqvist, … - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2004

What role do sentiment investors play in the pricing of newly listed stocks? We derive conditions under which we can distinguish between sentiment and rational pricing behaviour and test for the rationality of small investors’ demand for new stock issues using data from pre-issue (or...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504464

Local Bias and Stock Market Conditions

Giannetti, Mariassunta; Laeven, Luc - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2012

We show that the local bias in U.S. mutual fund portfolios varies significantly over time and is more pronounced at times of heightened market uncertainty, such as during financial crises. Similarly, the local bias is less pronounced in periods when market sentiment is strong. These results do...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084583

When Everyone Runs for the Exit

Pedersen, Lasse Heje - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2009

The dangers of shouting ``fire'' in a crowded theater are well understood, but the dangers of rushing to the exit in the financial markets are more complex. Yet, the two events share several features, and I analyze why people crowd into theaters and trades, why they run, what determines the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082543

Sovereign CDS and Bond Pricing Dynamics in the Euro-area

Palladini, Giorgia; Portes, Richard - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2011

This analysis tests the price discovery relationship between sovereign CDS premia and bond yield spreads on the same reference entity. The theoretical no-arbitrage relationship between the two credit spreads is confronted with daily data from six Euro-area countries over the period 2004-2011. As...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009365646

Asset Pricing under Rational Learning about Rare Disasters

Koulovatianos, Christos; Wieland, Volker - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2011

This paper proposes a new approach for modeling investor fear after rare disasters. The key element is to take into account that investors' information about fundamentals driving rare downward jumps in the dividend process is not perfect. Bayesian learning implies that beliefs about the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009201120

Spatial Asset Pricing: A First Step

Ortalo-Magné, François; Prat, Andrea - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2010

People choose where to live and how much to invest in housing. Traditionally, the first decision has been the domain of spatial economics, while the second has been analyzed in finance. Spatial asset pricing is an attempt to combine equilibrium concepts from both disciplines. In the finance...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468506

Time-Varying Market Integration and Expected Returns in Emerging Markets

de Jong, Frank; de Roon, Frans - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2001

We use a simple model in which the expected returns in emerging markets depend on their systematic risk as measured by their beta relative to the world portfolio as well as on the level of integration in that market. The level of integration is a time-varying variable that depends on the market...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123688

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