Showing 1 - 10 of 554
The aim of this paper is to provide evidence of structural breaks in the exchange rates of European transition economies. The Vogelsang (1997) testing procedure is used. The technique allows for the detection of a break at an unknown date in the trend function of a dynamic univariate time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124398
This paper analyses the remarkable growth experience of Indonesia since 1966. Over a thirty-year period, GDP per capita … main external shocks. The paper also argues that rapid growth interacted with weak institutions in a way that contributed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791453
Lack of access to finance is often cited as a key reason for why poor people remain poor. This Paper uses data on the Indian rural branch expansion programme to provide empirical evidence on this issue. Between 1977 and 1990, the Indian central bank mandated that a commercial bank could open a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792249
One of the most striking regularities of the growth process is the massive reallocation of labour from agriculture into … industry and services. Balanced growth models are commonly used in macroeconomics because they are consistent with the well …-known Kaldor facts about economic growth. Unfortunately, these models are inconsistent with the structural change dynamics that are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124374
This paper provides a unified growth theory, i.e. a model that explains the very long-run economic and demographic … Malthusian era. The current framework lends support to existing unified growth theories and is well in tune with historical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123712
We provide evidence on the real effects of credit supply shocks utilizing a new firm-level database from six Latin American countries between 1990 to 2005. Holding creditworthiness constant through foreign currency debt exposure, we compare investment undertaken by domestic exporters to that of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009275697
We conduct a detailed simulation study of the forecasting performance of diffusion index-based methods in short samples with structural change. We consider several data generation processes, to mimic different types of structural change, and compare the relative forecasting performance of factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666861
The transition to market-based economic systems in the countries of Central and Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union involve fundamental shifts in the allocation of resources, and deep changes in the structure of production and employment. This Paper uses a simple model of economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792040
We present a model in which two of the most important features of the long-run growth process are reconciled: the … massive changes in the structure of production and employment; and the Kaldor facts of economic growth. We assume that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792315
following a technology improvement. The issue is the common high-low-high pattern of hours per capita and productivity growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067465