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position through the “valuation channel” of external adjustment, namely capital gains and losses on the country’s external … assets and liabilities. We examine this valuation channel theoretically in a dynamic equilibrium portfolio model with … quantities in the definition of net foreign assets, we can characterize the first-order dynamics of both valuation effects and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011266533
stabilizing valuation effects contribute as much as 31% of the external adjustment. Our theory also has asset-pricing implications … to two years ahead and net exports at longer horizons. The exchange rate affects the trade balance and the valuation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662073
We study three cases in which specialized arbitrageurs lost significant amounts of capital and, as a result, became liquidity demanders rather than providers. The effects on security markets were large and persistent: Prices dropped relative to fundamentals and the rebound took months. While...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788922
We develop a simple approach to valuing stocks in the presence of learning about average profitability. The market-to-book ratio (M/B) increases with uncertainty about average profitability, especially for firms that pay no dividends. M/B is predicted to decline over a firm's lifetime due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791675
This Paper studies predatory trading: trading that induces and/or exploits other investors’ need to reduce their positions. We show that if one trader needs to sell, others also sell and subsequently buy back the asset. This leads to price overshooting and a reduced liquidation value for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791996
In this Paper we study the changes in corporate valuation induced by the formation of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123881
this uncertainty was unusually high in the late 1990s. We calibrate a stock valuation model that includes this uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123974
We model the demand-pressure effect on prices when options cannot be perfectly hedged. The model shows that demand pressure in one option contract increases its price by an amount proportional to the variance of the unhedgeable part of the option. Similarly, the demand pressure increases the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067592
The effects of Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs) are disputed. In this paper, we assess these effects using capital market data and an event-study approach, using a daily data set covering a thousand announcements spanning over eighty economies and a hundred RTAs over twenty recent years. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293663
This paper challenges cross-sectional findings that democratic institutions have a negligible direct effect on economic growth. We employ a newly constructed data-set of permanent democratic transitions during the so-called Third Wave of Democratization and examine the within effect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666992