Showing 1 - 10 of 101
averse to risk and ambiguity. The evidence is largely correlational, however, leaving open the question of the direction of … causality. In this paper, we present experimental evidence of causation running from reliance on intuition to risk and ambiguity … lowers the probability of being ambiguity averse by 30 percentage points and increases risk tolerance by about 30 percent in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083555
between risk and uncertainty is implemented by applying the Gilboa-Schmeidler maxmin with multiple priors framework to lenders …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144737
In this paper, we study the determinants of the value of informal risk sharing groups. In particular, we look at the … if individuals can deviate form risk sharing agreements in coalitions or not. We test empirically several predictable … size of risk sharing groups can be rejected or that only imperfect risk sharing is obtained within the village because of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791230
The preferred risk habitat hypothesis, introduced here, is that individual investors select stocks with volatilities … commensurate with their risk aversion; more risk-averse individuals pick lower-volatility stocks. The investors' portfolio … stocks are sold they are replaced by stocks of similar volatilities, and the more risk averse customers indeed hold less …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067451
This paper incorporates training in the design of unemployment policies. Human capital falls upon displacement and continuously depreciates during unemployment. While training counters the decrease in human capital, it also affects the willingness of the unemployed to search. I characterize the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468659
We propose a new theory of systemic risk based on Knightian uncertainty (or "ambiguity"). We show that, due to … pessimistic about other asset classes as well. This means that idiosyncratic risk can create contagion and snowball into systemic … risk. Furthermore, in a Diamond and Dybvig (1983) setting, we show that, surprisingly, uncertainty aversion causes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213303
We present a novel source of disagreement grounded in decision theory: ambiguity aversion. We show that ambiguity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213312
The paper investigates whether the financial crisis did affect risk perceptions, and, hence, change structural … parameters. By decomposing credit spreads of US corporate bonds into the contributions by credit, equity, and liquidity risk … factors as well as structural change, the relative contribution of the change in risk perceptions can be measured. We show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009399718
The main obstacles to coordinating policies in practice are uncertainty about the correct model to use for policy design, and uncertainty about external variables. This paper examines the former problem. Numerical calculations using ten models from the recent Brookings Multicountry comparison...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662409
While empirical evidence finds only a weak relationship between nominal exchange rates and macroeconomic fundamentals, forex markets participants often attribute exchange rate movements to a macroeconomic variable. The variables that matter, however, appear to change over time and one variable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667035