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proposition in the context of FOMC policy decisions over the past 20 years using publicly available FOMC projections from the … biannual monetary policy reports to the Congress (Humphrey-Hawkins reports). Our results indicate that FOMC decisions can … indeed be predominantly explained in terms of the FOMC's own projections rather than observed outcomes. Thus, a forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124156
How does transparency, a key feature of central bank design, affect the deliberation of monetary policymakers? We exploit a natural experiment in the Federal Open Market Committee in 1993 together with computational linguistic models (particularly Latent Dirichlet Allocation) to measure the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084486
Repo auctions are multiunit auctions regularly used by central banks to inject liquidity into the banking sector. Banks have a fundamental need to participate because they have to satisfy reserve requirements. Superficially, repo auctions resemble treasury auctions; the format and rules are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067452
Important questions concerning the structure and operation of a European Central Bank remain unanswered. Although there exists no precedent for the process of institution-building in which the European Community is currently engaged, the founding and early operations of the Federal Reserve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791345
We re-examine optimal monetary policy in a dynamic general equilibrium model where open market operations are the only policy instrument. The government optimizes purely over private agents’ welfare. We use a money-in-the-utility-function approach with a welfare cost of ‘current’...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661830
The first part of the paper analyzes the inflationary risks associated with price liberalization, the welfare costs of inflation and the difficulties of East European central banks in pursuing non-inflationary policies. The main obstacles are the low credibility of stabilization policies and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123602
Some central banks have a reputation for being secretive. A justification for this behaviour that we find in the literature is that being transparent about operations and beliefs hinders the central bank in achieving the best outcome. In other words, a central bank needs flexibility and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124006
Does global currency volume increase on days when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets? To test the … hypothesis of excess currency volume on FOMC days, we use a novel data set from the Continuous Linked Settlement (CLS) Bank. The … that trading volume increases in the order of 5% across currency areas on FOMC days during 2003 to 2007. This result holds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136771
In this paper we estimate ideal points of Bank Presidents and Board Governors at the FOMC. We use stated preferences … from FOMC transcipts and estimate a hierarchical spatial voting model. We find a clear difference between the average Board … point at the FOMC has been fairly stable over our sample period (1989-2007) emphasizing the lack of a political appointment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011184080
exclusively upon contemporaneous sources, including the recently released transcripts of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC …) meetings during 1979. We then present and discuss in detail the reasons for the FOMC’s adoption of the reform and the … inflation targeting. The record suggests that the reform was adopted when the FOMC became convinced that its earlier gradualist …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792211