Showing 1 - 10 of 633
We examine whether the publication of forecasts concerning the likely future conduct of monetary policy is socially desirable. Introducing a new central bank loss function that accounts for the deviations from announcements, we incorporate forecasts about future inflation and interest rates into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114233
We introduce a new type of incentive contract for central bankers: inflation forecast contracts, which make central bankers’ remunerations contingent on the precision of their inflation forecasts. We show that such contracts enable central bankers to influence inflation expectations more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084494
In this paper we investigate central bank accountability by looking at the effect of transparency in a simple monetary … banker's preferences for inflation stabilization relative to output stabilization. Transparency enhances the central bank …'s accountability. The paper shows that transparency leads to a lower expected rate of inflation and less stabilization of supply shocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666712
We study workplace peer effects in fertility decisions using a game theory model of strategic interactions among coworkers that allows for multiple equilibria. Using register-based data on fertile-aged women working in medium sized establishments in Denmark, we uncover negative average peer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084249
private information on shocks to money demand and, because of verifiability problems, the transparency solution is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497735
This paper presents a model of monetary policy-making in a federal monetary union. Central bank council members are representatives from the member states. In a repeated-game context, council members have an incentive to engage in strategic voting, trading political favours between each other....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497837
The translation of legal independence into actual independence is primarily determined by the rule of law. Inspired by the economic growth literature, where the role of institutions already is incorporated, we introduce Institutional Quality Indicators that can be used as reasonable proxies for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497964
The European Monetary Union will involve socialization of existing seigniorage wealth of national central banks. This socialization will create windfall gains for countries with relatively low monetary bases such as France and the United Kingdom and will be disadvantageous for countries like...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497965
In this paper we estimate ideal points of Bank Presidents and Board Governors at the FOMC. We use stated preferences from FOMC transcipts and estimate a hierarchical spatial voting model. We find a clear difference between the average Board Governor and Bank President. We find little evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011184080
This paper is an attempt to provide an updated assessment of what we know and what do not know about the impact of monetary policy on the economy and what implications follow for the conduct of monetary policy in today's world. Firstly, we discuss the conditions under which monetary policy can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114302