Showing 1 - 10 of 857
, Canada, Japan, and the UK. We identify shocks in government consumption, investment, vacancies and government wages in a SVAR … consumption and investment demand. On the other hand, government wage cuts are the least destructive device for cutting the budget. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084631
consumption and investment, with no evidence of crowding out. The impact multiplier is 1.7 and the long run multiplier is 0.6. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468535
We use a dynamic factor model to provide a semi-structural representation for 101 quarterly US macroeconomic series. We find that (i) the US economy is well described by a number of structural shocks between two and six. Focusing on the four-shock specification, we identify, using sign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468698
A method to evaluate cyclical models which does not require knowledge of the DGP and the exact specification of the aggregate decision rules is proposed. We derive robust restrictions in a class of models; use some to identify structural shocks in the data and others to evaluate the class or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009001058
This paper investigates the causes of the Italian consumption bust of the early 1990s by estimating deviations from … 'normal' consumption using household level data for 1985-94. The data set used is a particularly rich, but as yet unexplored … households each year. The main findings are that the decline in consumption was larger for the working age households. The fall …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791410
This paper develops a new analysis of the U. S. economy in the 1920s that is illuminated by contrasts with the 1990s, and it also re examines the causes of the Great Depression. In both the 1920s and the 1990s the acceleration of productivity growth linked to the delayed effects of previously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792478
The consumption behaviour of UK, US and Japanese households is examined and compared using a modern Ando …-Modigliani style consumption function. The models incorporate income growth expectations, income uncertainty, housing collateral and … credit availability for UK and US but not Japanese households has undergone large shifts since 1980. The average consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468550
Does the transmission of economic policies and structural shocks vary with the state of the economy? We answer this question using a strategy based on quantile regressions, which account for both endogeneous regressors and state-dependent parameters. An application to U.S. real activity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083570
There is widespread disagreement about the role of housing wealth in explaining consumption. This paper exploits liquid …, to explain fluctuations in the ratios of consumption and household debt to income in South Africa, from 1971 to 2005. The … variable with key interactions with drivers of consumption and debt. Credit conditions are proxied by a spline function …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084339
We study the joint dynamics of foreign capital flows and real activity during the recent boom-bust cycle of the Spanish economy, using a three-country New Keynesian model with credit constrained households and firms, a construction sector and a government. We estimate the model using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083472