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of government spending to the political system. A Downsian model of electoral competition and forward-looking voting … government. A model of legislative bargaining and backward-looking voting indicates that presidential---as opposed to … politicians, less redistribution, and smaller government. We confront these predictions with cross-country data from around 1990 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662287
Italian municipal governments elected between 1993 and 2003. A municipal government can be viewed as a hierarchy, whose …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791679
An unstable macroeconomic environment is often regarded as detrimental to economic growth. Among the sources contributing to such instability, the literature has assigned most of the blame to political issues. This paper empirically tests for a causal and negative long-term relationship between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504467
their growth. Economic theory suggests uncertainty can cause firms to delay investments until uncertainty is resolved. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084029
What are the main causes of international terrorism? The lessons from the surge of academic research that followed 9/11 remain elusive. The careful investigation of the relative roles of economic and political conditions did little to change the fact that existing econometric estimates diverge...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005029291
We develop a theory of political transitions inspired in part by the experiences of Western Europe and Latin America …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661707
What is the relationship between economic growth and its volatility? Does political instability affect growth directly or indirectly, through volatility? This paper tries to answer such questions using a power-ARCH framework with annual time series data for Argentina from 1896 to 2000. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667076
Although recent research has repeatedly found a negative association between investment and political instability, the existence and direction of causality between these two variables has not yet been investigated. This paper empirically tests for such a causal and negative long-run relationship...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791838
Using two unifying models and an empirical exercise, this paper presents and extends the main theories linking income distribution and growth, as well as the relevant empirical evidence. The first model integrates the political-economy and imperfect capital markets theories. It allows for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123982
This paper investigates the effects of financial development and political instability on economic growth in a power-ARCH framework with data for Argentina from 1896 to 2000. Our findings suggest that (i) informal or unanticipated political instability (e.g., guerrilla warfare) has a direct...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114221