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restrictions suggested by theory using US data for the 1973-2007 period. The estimates show that identifying the shock underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791245
In this paper I estimate and test a model of the effects of competitiveness, oil prices and government expenditure on output fluctuations in the United Kingdom. The model is based on the distinction between traded and non-traded goods, the latter being produced in both the private and public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792313
A common view in the literature is that the effect of energy price shocks on macroeconomic aggregates is asymmetric in energy price increases and decreases. We show that widely used asymmetric vector autoregressive models of the transmission of energy price shocks are misspecified, resulting in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005000442
One of the central questions in recent macroeconomic history is to what extent monetary policy as opposed to oil price shocks contributed to the stagflation of the 1970s. Understanding what went wrong in the 1970s is the key to learning from the past. One explanation explored in Barsky and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005016247
reexamine the welfare gains from global monetary policy coordination in a world with trade in oil. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083477
. Quantitative goals take three forms: exchange rates, money growth rates, and inflation targets. We analyse the effects on inflation … determinants of inflation (such as fiscal policy, the business cycle, and openness to international trade), and the endogeneity of … systematically and robustly associated with lower inflation. The exact form of the monetary target matters somewhat, but is less …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791282
U.S. retail food price increases in recent years may seem large in nominal terms, but after adjusting for inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084483
restraint caused by greater imports, assuming unchanged monetary policy, can explain a fall in inflation of up to 0.14% per … annum. The most substantial impact on inflation arises, however, from the role of lower markups in reducing the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667140
separate periods, those of the first globalization wave (1870 to 1914), the period of the “bloc economy” (1915 to 1959) and for … the period of the second globalization (1960-2001). Cluster analysis is applied and the McNemar test is used to test for … that features some well-defined sub-global clusters, where the second globalization period does not, the first …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792022
inflation and the difficulties of East European central banks in pursuing non-inflationary policies. The main obstacles are the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123602