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A measure of the credibility of monetary policy is the inflation risk premium embodied in nominal yields. This will be … with that in the real term structure of inflation-indexed bonds. Information can also be obtained about the real risk … premium, and about expected inflation. We estimate these risk premia using a generalization of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666871
We study the determinants of euro area sovereign bond spreads since the introduction of the euro. An aggregate risk … banking sectors. When aggregate risk increases, countries with large banking sectors with low equity ratios experience greater … widening in yield spreads, suggesting that financial markets perceive a larger risk that governments will have to rescue banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468513
We identify frictions in the market for liquidity as well as bank-specific and market-wide factors that affect the prices that banks pay for liquidity, captured here by borrowing rates in repos with the central bank and benchmarked by the overnight index swap. We have price data at the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008530368
This paper proposes a panel data approach to modeling the risk premium in the term structure of interest rates … allows us to disentangle risk premia and unexpected excess returns, which is not possible in the standard time series … full data panel of U.S. Treasury securities. Second, a considerable degree of mean reversion is present in the risk premia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123603
differentials between bonds issued by EU countries and Germany or the USA contain risk premia which increase with the debt, deficit … credit risk, measured as the yield spread between low grade US corporate bonds and government bonds, also affects bond yield …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123697
This article complements the structural New-Keynesian macro framework with a no-arbitrage affine term structure model. Whereas our methodology is general, we focus on an extended macro-model with unobservable processes for the inflation target and the natural rate of output which are filtered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136692
Repo auctions are multiunit auctions regularly used by central banks to inject liquidity into the banking sector. Banks have a fundamental need to participate because they have to satisfy reserve requirements. Superficially, repo auctions resemble treasury auctions; the format and rules are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067452
The estimation of dynamic no-arbitrage term structure models with a flexible specification of the market price of risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067482
Forward interest rates have become popular indicators of inflation expectations. The usefulness of this indicator depends on the relative volatility and the correlation of inflation expectations and expected real interest rates. This paper studies US and UK data, using a range of different tools...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067661
We examine several continuous-time term-structure models, in which the short rate is subject to discrete shifts. Our empirical analysis suggests that inquiring which parameters of the short-term interest rate equation are allowed to switch is crucial, as failing to do so may result in switching...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497966