United States during the 1990s. Proponents of this approach recommend that, when inflation is moderate but still above the … long-run objective, the central bank should not move immediately to fight inflation, but rather wait for exogenous … circumstances — such as favourable supply shocks and unforeseen recessions — to deliver the desired reduction in inflation. While …

at containing inflation and the deviation of output from potential within pre-specified bounds. We develop formal tools … this loss function under weak assumptions may be estimated from realizations for inflation and output gap data even in the … parameters with respect to the inflation and output objectives during the Greenspan period. We formally test for and reject the …

indicator and forecasting properties of the real interest rate gap for inflation, both in the model and in the data. Our results … suggest that the real interest rate gap has value as an inflation indicator, supporting the ‘neo-Wicksellian framework …

channel through which monetary policy lowers the volatility of inflation and, even more importantly, output. …

inflation and the difficulties of East European central banks in pursuing non-inflationary policies. The main obstacles are the …

situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …

This paper estimates the NAIRU (standing for the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment) as a parameter that … varies over time. The NAIRU is the unemployment rate that is consistent with a constant rate of inflation. Its value is … determined in an econometric model in which the inflation rate depends on its own past values (‘inertia’), demand shocks proxied …

pronounced increase of aggregate US producer price inflation. …

The paper provides an empirical analysis of inflation persistence in one of inflation targeting countries, the Czech …, display smaller inflation persistence than durables and processed goods. Inflation seems to be somewhat less persistent after … the adoption of inflation targeting in 1998. There is also evidence for aggregation bias, that is, aggregate inflation is …