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persist for some time. Thus, belief dynamics are a source of apparent excess volatility relative to a rational expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009201120
and volatility in contrast to the exogenously assumed constant mean and volatility in many credit risk models. We consider … attenuated (amplified) market volatility and risk premium, but the market value is always higher in economic downturns, and lower …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788927
-root process. Hyperbolic and quasi-hyperbolic discount factors can significantly increase the volatility of aggregate wealth and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662071
We develop a method that allows one to compute incomplete-market equilibria routinely for Markovian equilibria (when they exist). The main difficulty to be overcome arises from the set of state variables. There are, of course, exogenous state variables driving the economy but, in an incomplete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124234
phenomenon based on trading constraints and asymmetric information. A key feature of our theory is that rational uninformed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666589
This Paper considers the financing of a research project under uncertainty about the time of completion and the probability of eventual success. The uncertainty about future success diminishes gradually with the arrival of additional funding. The entrepreneur controls the funds and can divert...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791971
This paper sheds new light on why timing and entry mode should be considered simultaneously. We derive the profit levels at which it is optimal to switch from exporting to setting up a wholly owned subsidiary, creating a joint venture, or licensing production to a local firm. The preferred entry...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792542
We consider the provision of venture capital in a dynamic agency model. The value of the venture project is initially uncertain and more information arrives by developing the project. The allocation of funds and the learning process are subject to moral hazard. The optimal contract is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136446
This article develops a multi-period production model to examine the optimal dynamic behaviour of a large monopolistic value-maximizing firm that manipulates its valuation as well as the price of its output. In the pre-commitment equilibrium the firm’s output and labour demand are decreased,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666999
This paper employs cohort technique and Consumer Expenditure Survey data to construct average age-profiles of consumption and income over the working lives of typical households across different education and occupation groups. Using these profiles, we estimate a structural model of optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504201