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This paper examines the comovement of the stock market and of real activity in Germany before World War I under the efficient market hypothesis. We employ multivariate spectral analysis to compare rivaling national product estimates to stock market behaviour in the frequency domain. Close...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666693
fact that market efficiency tests rely on establishing profitable trading opportunities in ‘real time’. Forecasters … tests of market efficiency and the search for successful forecasting approaches. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791371
We investigate the dynamics of prices, information and expectations in a competitive, noisy, dynamic asset pricing equilibrium model. We show that prices are farther away from (closer to) fundamentals compared with average expectations if and only if traders over- (under-) rely on public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008477180
Using a stochastic frontier model and a comprehensive dataset, we study factors that affect corporate efficiency in … efficiency, and (iii) high competition is less conductive to efficiency than moderate or low competition. In terms of ownership …, we find that (iv) efficiency increases when a majority owner must deal with minority shareholders and that (v) domestic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213309
When workers send applications to vacancies they create a network. Frictions arise if workers do not know where other workers apply to (this affects network creation) and firms do not know which candidates other firms consider (this affects network clearing). We show that those frictions and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009246606
Why were people so unprepared for the global financial crisis, the European debt crisis, and the Fukushima nuclear accident? To address this question, we study a model in which agents make state-contingent plans - think about actions in different contingencies - subject to the constraint that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009351517
indicator duality and production theory. The paper shows that users benefited through lower real water prices -although users in … shows that taxpayers are the main losers as subsidies are still needed. There are also serious efficiency-equity trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009399719
In this article we quantify the aggregate, distributional and welfare consequences of two revenue neutral flat-tax reforms using a model economy that replicates the U.S. distributions of earnings, income and wealth in very much detail. We find that the less progressive reform brings about a 2.4%...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662104
This paper challenges the widespread view that forward exchange premia contain little information regarding subsequent spot rate movements. Using weekly dollar/Deutschmark and dollar/sterling data, we show that spot and forward exchange rates are well represented by a vector error correction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662140
In this Paper we study the impact of credit risk transfer (CRT) on the stability and the efficiency of a financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662362