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? Can stock return predictability be explained by changes in stock market volatility? How does the mean return per unit risk … predictor of both the mean and volatility of excess stock market returns. We characterize the risk-return tradeoff as the … negatively linked to variation in market volatility, at odds with leading asset pricing models. Since the conditional volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498159
Survey respondents strongly disagree about return risks and, increasingly, macroeconomic uncertainty. This may have contributed to higher asset prices through increased use of collateralisation, which allows risk-neutral investors to realise perceived gains from trade. Investors with lower risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084220
component. We show that both the time series and the term structure of conditional volatility in general is downward sloping and … reputation. Another testable implication is that in price series without a policy reversal, implied volatility from option prices … will exceed actual volatility. Over time, and in the absence of a reversal, this wedge progressively disappears. This may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656360
-root process. Hyperbolic and quasi-hyperbolic discount factors can significantly increase the volatility of aggregate wealth and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662071
This paper documents that at the individual stock level insiders sales peak many months before a large drop in the stock price, while insiders purchases peak only the month before a large jump. We provide a theoretical explanation for this phenomenon based on trading constraints and asymmetric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666589
We investigate the relation between global foreign exchange (FX) volatility risk and the cross-section of excess … FX volatility and thus deliver low returns in times of unexpected high volatility, when low interest rate currencies … provide a hedge by yielding positive returns. Our proxy for global FX volatility risk captures more than 90% of the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008867494
We study the effect of introducing a new security, such as a non-redundant derivative, on the volatility of stock … increases the volatility of stock-market returns. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114422
volatility of stock returns increases with the cross-sectional dispersion of risk aversion, with the cross-sectional dispersion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504284
This paper proposes a dynamic risk-based model that captures the high expected returns on value stocks relative to growth stocks, and the failure of the capital asset pricing model to explain these expected returns. To model the difference between value and growth stocks, we introduce a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504287
This paper examines the co-movement among stock market prices and exchange rates within a three-country Centre-Periphery dynamic equilibrium model in which agents in the Centre country face portfolio constraints. In our model, international transmission occurs through the terms of trade, through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504325