Showing 1 - 10 of 44
A number of studies have provided evidence of increased correlation in global financial market returns during bear … implied correlation based on portfolio downside risk measures that does not suffer from this bias. These unbiased quantile … correlation estimates are directly applicable to portfolio optimization and to risk management techniques in general. This simple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124110
Testing the hypothesis that international equity market correlation increases in volatile times is a difficult exercise … and misleading results have often been reported in the past because of a spurious relationship between correlation and … volatility. This paper focuses on extreme correlation, that is to say the correlation between returns in either the negative or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504611
In many economic applications involving comparisons of multivariate distributions, supermodularity of an objective function is a natural property for capturing a preference for greater interdependence. One multivariate distribution dominates another according to the `supermodular stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083601
derive empirical predictions for the direction of correlation and for whether governance is stronger or weaker with multiple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084086
Frictionless, perfectly competitive traded-goods markets justify thinking of purchasing power parity (PPP) as the main driver of exchange rates in the long-run. But differences in the traded/non-traded sectors of economies tend to be persistent and affect movements in local price levels in ways...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008550320
-correction, cointegration and dynamic factor models, and has several conceptual advantages over standard ECM and FAVAR models. In particular, it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468646
Cross-section or short-panel econometric techniques typically used to examine Gibrat’s Law of Proportionate Effect suggest that some degree of mean reversion exists, but may exaggerate the apparent randomness of corporate growth. We argue that a more natural way to explore the long-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136482
This paper brings together several important strands of the econometrics literature: error-correction, cointegration … the standard ECM, the FECM protects, at least in part, from omitted variable bias and the dependence of cointegration … cointegration prevent the errors from being non-invertible moving average processes. In addition, the FECM is a natural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136642
This paper applies recent cointegration techniques to analyse whether the forward market for the peseta/US dollar is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497906
We develop a consumption-based present value relation that is a function of future dividend growth. Using data on aggregate consumption and measures of the dividend payments from aggregate wealth, we show that changing forecasts of dividend growth make an important contribution to fluctuations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504785