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Farhi, Emmanuel; Fraiberger, Samuel P.; Gabaix, Xavier; … - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2009

How much of carry trade excess returns can be explained by the presence of disaster risk? To answer this question, we propose a simple structural model that includes both Gaussian and disaster risk premia and can be estimated even in samples that do not contain disasters. The model points to a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005016245

The Dynamics of Financially Constrained Arbitrage

Gromb, Denis; Vayanos, Dimitri - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2015

We develop a model of financially constrained arbitrage, and use it to study the dynamics of arbitrage capital … the dynamics of arbitrage activity are self-correcting: following a shock that depletes arbitrage capital, profitability … trades, although arbitrageurs cut their positions in these trades the least. When arbitrage capital is more mobile across …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011184076

Arbitrage in the Foreign Exchange Market: Turning on the Microscope

Akram, Farooq; Rime, Dagfinn; Sarno, Lucio - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2008

This paper provides real-time evidence on the frequency, size, duration and economic significance of arbitrage …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124143

Three Sisters: The Interlinkage between Sovereign Debt, Currency and Banking Crises

Eijffinger, Sylvester C W; Karatas, Bilge - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2013

The sovereign debt default and the linkages from banking and currency crisis have been rarely explored in the crisis literature. This study attempts to dive into this unexplored area by applying panel data binary choice model on a sample with 20 emerging countries having monthly observations for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084100

Gambling for resurrection in Iceland: the rise and fall of the banks

Baldursson, Fridrik Mar; Portes, Richard - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2013

We examine the evolution of the Icelandic banking sector in its macroeconomic environment. The story culminates in the crisis of October 2008, when all three major banks in Iceland collapsed in three successive days. The country is still struggling to cope with the consequences. The paper...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084274

Uncertainty about Government Policy and Stock Prices

Pástor, Luboš; Veronesi, Pietro - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2010

We analyze how changes in government policy affect stock prices. Our general equilibrium model features uncertainty about government policy and a government that has both economic and non-economic motives. The government tends to change its policy after performance downturns in the private...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008553062

Short-Selling Bans around the World: Evidence from the 2007-09 Crisis

Beber, Alessandro; Pagano, Marco - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2009

Most stock exchange regulators around the world reacted to the 2007-2009 crisis by imposing bans or regulatory constraints on short-selling. Short-selling restrictions were imposed and lifted at different dates in different countries, often applied to different sets of stocks and featured...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008474510

Trading Frenzies and Their Impact on Real Investment

Goldstein, Itay; Ozdenoren, Emre; Yuan, Kathy - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2010

We study a model where a capital provider learns from the price of a firm’s security in deciding how much capital to provide for new investment. This feedback effect from the financial market to the investment decision gives rise to trading frenzies, where speculators all wish to trade like...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008530385

Recreating the South Sea Bubble: Lessons from an Experiment in Financial History

Giusti, Giovanni; Noussair, Charles; Voth, Hans-Joachim - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2013

Major bubble episodes are rare events. In this paper, we examine what factors might cause some asset price bubbles to become very large. We recreate, in a laboratory setting, some of the specific institutional features investors in the South Sea Company faced in 1720. Several factors have been...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083988

The "Greatest" Carry Trade Ever? Understanding Eurozone Bank Risks

Acharya, Viral V; Steffen, Sascha - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2013

This paper argues that the European banking crisis can in part be explained by a “carry trade” behavior of banks. Factor loading estimates from multifactor models relating equity returns to GIPSI (Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Spain and Italy) and German government bond returns suggest that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084468

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