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model, covering a panel of EU countries, and derives the implied long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667015
We develop and estimate a structural model of inflation that allows for a fraction of firms that use a backward looking … measures of marginal cost as the relevant determinant of inflation, as the theory suggests, instead of an ad-hoc output gap …. Real marginal costs are a significant and quantitatively important determinant of inflation. Backward looking price setting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791238
inflation and a permanent reduction in the level of unemployment. In short, we derive a microfounded long-run downward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791529
This paper estimates the NAIRU (standing for the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment) as a parameter that … varies over time. The NAIRU is the unemployment rate that is consistent with a constant rate of inflation. Its value is … determined in an econometric model in which the inflation rate depends on its own past values (‘inertia’), demand shocks proxied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123935
shifts in the parameters of wage equations when the process generating price inflation changes. The two major shifts that we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661752
examining the relationship between inflation and unemployment, which sheds light on these developments. The theoretical section … similar inflation behaviour, in that inflation depends more closely on the capacity utilization rate than on the unemployment … high unemployment does not put downward pressure on the inflation rate. During the 1970s and 1980s in Germany, there …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661839
-neutrality; leads to a strong positive correlation between inflation and output; and contributes significantly to output volatility. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662388
curve for China and show that the output gap, the exchange rate, and inflation expectations play important roles in …This paper models Chinese inflation using an output gap Phillips curve. Inflation modelling for the world’s sixth … explaining inflation. We adjust for structural change in the economy where possible and estimate regressions for rolling sample …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656372
. Quantitative goals take three forms: exchange rates, money growth rates, and inflation targets. We analyse the effects on inflation … determinants of inflation (such as fiscal policy, the business cycle, and openness to international trade), and the endogeneity of … systematically and robustly associated with lower inflation. The exact form of the monetary target matters somewhat, but is less …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791282
Import competition from China is pervasive in the sense that for many good categories, the competitive environment that … pronounced increase of aggregate US producer price inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145441