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This paper develops a theory characterizing the effects of fiscal policy on unemployment over the business cycle. The … theory is based on a model of equilibrium unemployment in which jobs are rationed in recessions. Fiscal policy in the form of … government spending on public-sector jobs reduces unemployment, especially during recessions: the fiscal multiplier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009324257
doubles when unemployment rises from 5% to 8%. Theoretically, such countercyclicality arises because of a nonlinearity, namely … in recessions but large in expansions. Hence, government consumption reduces unemployment much more in recessions than in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083889
To generate big responses of unemployment to productivity changes, researchers have reconfigured matching models in … introducing costly acquisition of credit, or by positing government mandated unemployment compensation and layoff costs. All of … these redesigned matching models increase responses of unemployment to movements in productivity by diminishing the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011201357
We argue that firms’ balance sheets were instrumental in the propagation of shocks during the Great Recession. Using establishment-level data, we show that firms that tightened their debt capacity in the run-up (“high-leverage firms”) exhibit a significantly larger decline in employment in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011252614
Germany experienced an even deeper fall in GDP in the Great Recession than the United States, with little employment loss. Employers’ reticence to hire in the preceding expansion, associated in part with a lack of confidence it would last, contributed to an employment shortfall equivalent to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009246610
which there are multiple equilibrium unemployment rates. The model has two equations in common with the new-Keynesian model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692320
This paper presents a theory explaining the labor market matching process through microeconomic incentives. There are heterogeneous variations in the characteristics of workers and jobs, and firms face adjustment costs in responding to these variations. Matches and separations are described...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005000439
frictions and unemployment insurance, when the latter is only imperfectly related to search effort. A balanced social insurance … volatility and persistence of vacancies and unemployment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008611008
Early studies of business cycles argued that contractions in economic activity were briefer (shorter) and more violent (rapid) than expansions. This paper systematically investigates this claim and in the process discovers a robust new business cycle fact: expansions and contractions in output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114328
of unemployment and vacancies to negative shocks to the aggregate productivity of labor. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114426