and productivity growth is low. We apply our theory to the windfalls of Norway, Iraq and Ghana. The optimal size of Ghana …’s liquidity fund is tiny even with high prudence. Norway’s liquidity fund is bigger than Ghana’s. Iraq’s liquidity fund is …

We study the determination of Irish inflation between 1926 and 2012. The difference between unemployment and the NAIRU …

the indirect wage effect resulting from lower unemployment risks and shorter spells in unemployment associated with higher … accounting for the effects of unemployment on individual wages using EU-SILC data. Across countries we find a high variation of … the effect of education on unemployment duration. Overall, the returns to education are estimated to be the highest in the …

This paper develops a theory characterizing the effects of fiscal policy on unemployment over the business cycle. The … theory is based on a model of equilibrium unemployment in which jobs are rationed in recessions. Fiscal policy in the form of … government spending on public-sector jobs reduces unemployment, especially during recessions: the fiscal multiplier …

and the unemployment rate in U.S. data since 1929. Second, it compares a new model of the economy developed in recent …

which there are multiple equilibrium unemployment rates. The model has two equations in common with the new-Keynesian model …

To the layperson, the upward trend in European unemployment is related to the slowdown in economic growth. We argue … that the layperson’s view is correct. The increase in European unemployment and the slowdown in economic growth are related …, and thus creates unemployment. Second, as firms substitute capital for labour, the marginal product of capital falls; over …