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In this paper we contrast regional and national data on real exchange rate movements, the growth rates of output and employment, labour mobility and unemployment. We find that asymmetric shocks tend to be more prevalent at the regional than at the national level in Europe. The presumption of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789027
I revisit the potential costs and benefits for Sweden of joining the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) of the European Union. I first show that the Swedish business cycle since the mid-1990s has been closely correlated with the Euro area economies, suggesting that common shocks have been an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124237
This review article discusses the recent document titled `One Market, One Money' in which the European Commission develops its case for European monetary union. After examining the monetary issues, the article focuses on the reasons for the Commission's very worried attitude toward fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791216
What can be learnt from revisiting the Optimal Currency Areas (OCA) theory 50 years from its birth, in light of recent … advances in open economy macro and monetary theory? This paper presents a stylized micro-founded model of the costs of adopting … exchange rates do not perform the stabilizing role envisioned by traditional OCA theory, a common monetary policy can be as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791521
This Paper seeks to trace the impact of monetary arrangements on trade integration and business cycle correlation, focusing on Europe in the late 19th century period as a guide for modern debates. For this purpose, we first estimate a gravity model and show that monetary arrangements were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791820
This paper seeks to integrate more closely the theory of optimum currency areas with the theory of international trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656159
In contrast to the notion that the exchange-rate regime is non-neutral, there is little evidence that EMU has systematically changed the European business cycle. In fact, we find the volatility of macroeconomic variables largely unchanged before and after the introduction of the euro. Exceptions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084347
In contrast to conventional analyses of monetary union between two particular countries or sets of countries, this paper treats the possible expansion of a given currency area as a continuous variable ranging from zero to one; zero if there is no expansion and one if all sources of imports and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656388
This paper discusses the conditions under which currency unions would be desirable and viable. We discuss and present new empirical evidence concerning the operation of existing currency unions in federal states and among regional country groupings. In particular, we examine the traditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662119
A monetary union is modelled as a technology that makes surprise devaluations impossible but requires voluntarily participating countries to follow the same monetary policy. It is shown that for low discount factors and sufficiently correlated shocks welfare in the union is higher than that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662125