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We examine the pricing of financial crash insurance during the 2007-2009 financial crisis in U.S. option markets. A large amount of aggregate tail risk is missing from the price of financial sector crash insurance during the financial crisis. The difference in costs of out-of-the-money put...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083289
We present a simple model of systemic risk and we show that each financial institution's contribution to systemic risk can be measured as its systemic expected shortfall (SES), i.e., its propensity to be undercapitalized when the system as a whole is undercapitalized. SES increases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084350
This paper argues that the U.S. financial crisis is a new type of crisis: a "financial black hole." Financial black holes are characterized by the breaking-up of credit market discipline and the large-scale financing of negative NPV projects. In a theoretical model, we explain how the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854497
behavior. By paying out dividends, a bank transfers value to its shareholders away from creditors, among whom are other banks …. This way, one bank's dividend payout policy affects the equity value and risk of default of other banks. When such negative … externalities are strong and bank franchise values are not too low, the private equilibrium can feature excess dividends relative to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084101
across banks. In particular, by paying out dividends, a bank transfers value to its shareholders away from its creditors, who … in turn are other banks. This way, one bank's dividend payout policy aects the equity value and risk of default of otther … banks. When such negative externalities are strong and bank franchise values are not too low, the private equilibrium can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084390
We use survey data to study American households’ propensity to default when the value of their mortgage exceeds the value of their house even if they can afford to pay their mortgage (strategic default). We find that 26% of the existing defaults are strategic. We also find that no household...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005039578
liability of banks and the presence of a negative externality of one bank’s failure on the health of other banks give rise to a … risk. Regulatory mechanisms such as bank closure policy and capital adequacy requirements that are commonly based only on a … bank’s own risk fail to mitigate aggregate risk-shifting incentives, and can, in fact, accentuate systemic risk. Prudential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980206
This Paper shows that bank closure policies suffer from a ‘too-many-to-fail’ problem: when the number of bank failures … is large, the regulator finds it ex-post optimal to bail out some or all failed banks, whereas when the number of bank …-ante standpoint. We formalize this time-inconsistency of bank regulation. We also argue that by allowing banks to purchase failed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136753
ex-post aspect, in which the failure of a bank brings down a surviving bank as well, and second, the ex-ante aspect, in … which banks endogenously hold correlated portfolios increasing the likelihood of joint failure. When bank loan returns have … a systematic factor, the failure of one bank conveys adverse information about this systematic factor and increases the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504423
As the number of bank failures increases, the set of assets available for acquisition by the surviving banks enlarges … for liquidation of banking assets. At a sufficiently large number of bank failures, and in turn, at a sufficiently low … and allowing the regulator to price-discriminate against outsiders in the market for bank sales. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114225