Showing 1 - 10 of 70
This paper provides evidence that learning about demand is an important driver of firms' dynamics. We present a simple … model with Bayesian learning in which firms are uncertain about their idiosyncratic demand parameter in each of the markets … their beliefs following a new demand shock, the younger they are. To test this learning mechanism, we make use of a specific …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213311
We study the pricing of political uncertainty in a general equilibrium model of government policy choice. We find that political uncertainty commands a risk premium whose magnitude is larger in poorer economic conditions. Political uncertainty reduces the value of the implicit put protection...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320399
Many new exporters give up exporting very shortly, despite substantial entry costs; others shoot up foreign sales and expand to new destinations. We develop a model based on experimentation to rationalize these and other dynamic patterns of exporting firms. We posit that individual export...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692316
correlated learning may render it optimal to enter markets sequentially – an investment in market A is only followed by entry in …, we identify correlated learning across markets beyond alternative explanations as a key driver of gradualism in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009246612
A competitive stock market is embedded into a neoclassical growth economy to analyze the interplay between the acquisition of information about firms, its partial revelation through stock prices, capital allocation and income. The stock market allows investors to share their costly private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293661
learning by policymakers, who update their beliefs on the basis of their own experience and of the policies adopted by other … countries. We emphasize the impact of financial crises on the learning process. The learning model developed in the paper … rational learning by policymakers. Finally, in evaluating the potential benefits and costs of capital controls in a given set …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011165647
model combining the learning aspect of experience goods with reference-dependent preferences, we setup a field experiment in … Northern Uganda in which three health products differing in their scope for learning were initially offered either for free or … for sale at market prices. In line with prior studies, when the product has potential for positive learning, we do not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083717
We study dynamic moral hazard, with symmetric ex ante uncertainty and learning. Unlike Holmstrom's career concerns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083746
Using a large representative sample of Indian retail equity investors, many of them new to the stock market, we show that both years of investment experience and feedback from investment returns have significant effects on investor behavior, favored stock styles, and performance. We identify two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084250
An autocoherent model is a model which is validated by the data if people use it to form their expectations. A structural model may be incorrect but autocoherent, thus supporting a self-confirming equilibrium. This paper explores some mathematical properties of autocoherent models. The first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084621