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According to the favorite-longshot bias observed in pari-mutuel betting, the final distribution of bets overestimates the winning chance of longshots. This Paper proposes an explanation of this bias based on late betting by small privately informed bettors. These bettors have an incentive to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504377
This paper studies product market competition under a strategic transparency decision. Dominant investors can influence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114392
This paper presents a market with asymmetric information where a privately revealing equilibrium obtains in a competitive framework and where incentives to acquire information are preserved. The equilibrium is efficient, and the paradoxes associated with fully revealing rational expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009644035
We study the interplay of share prices and firm decisions when share prices aggregate and convey noisy information about fundamentals to investors and managers. First, we show that the informational feedback between the firm's share price and its investment decisions leads to a systematic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009275969
applications of our theory. We first show that predictions of our model provide a novel theoretical justification and are … theory of debt versus equity. Third, we provide conditions under which permanent over- or under-pricing of assets is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083236
We analyze the reliability of voluntary disclosures of financial information, focusing on widely-employed publicly available hedge fund databases. Tracking changes to statements of historical performance recorded at different points in time between 2007 and 2011, we find that historical returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084298
We investigate whether short sellers are subject to the disposition effect using a novel dataset that allows to identify the weekly closing of short positions. Consistent with the disposition effect, the closing of short sale positions is strongly related to a proxy of Shortsale Capital Gains...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011252613
Most stock exchange regulators around the world reacted to the 2007-2009 crisis by imposing bans or regulatory constraints on short-selling. Short-selling restrictions were imposed and lifted at different dates in different countries, often applied to different sets of stocks and featured...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008474510
This article studies traditional and modern theories of executive compensation, bringing them together under a unifying framework. We analyze assignment models of the level of pay, and static and dynamic moral hazard models of incentives, and compare their predictions to empirical findings. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272716
When agents hold non-common priors over an unverifiable state of nature which affects the outcome of their future actions, they have an incentive to bet on the outcome. We pose the following question: what are the limits on the agents' ability to realize gains from speculative bets when their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067531