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responses of several variables to the identified real shock. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083358
This paper studies business cycle interdependence among the industrialized countries since 1958. Using the spillover index methodology recently proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2009) and based on the generalized VAR framework, I develop an alternative measure of comovement of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083760
We examine the effects of mixed sampling frequencies and temporal aggregation on standard tests for cointegration. We … the size distortion of the tests. We test stock prices and dividends for cointegration as an empirical demonstration. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084358
Applied cointegration analysis has much to gain from strong links with economic theory. For example, the current … important information about the economic structure can be found in the short-run dynamics, which most cointegration studies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661938
Frictionless, perfectly competitive traded-goods markets justify thinking of purchasing power parity (PPP) as the main driver of exchange rates in the long-run. But differences in the traded/non-traded sectors of economies tend to be persistent and affect movements in local price levels in ways...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008550320
This paper brings together several important strands of the econometrics literature: error-correction, cointegration … the standard ECM, the FECM protects, at least in part, from omitted variable bias and the dependence of cointegration … cointegration prevent the errors from being non-invertible moving average processes. In addition, the FECM is a natural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136642
-correction, cointegration and dynamic factor models, and has several conceptual advantages over standard ECM and FAVAR models. In particular, it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468646
A common view in the literature is that the effect of energy price shocks on macroeconomic aggregates is asymmetric in energy price increases and decreases. We show that widely used asymmetric vector autoregressive models of the transmission of energy price shocks are misspecified, resulting in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005000442
This paper shows how particle filtering allows us to undertake likelihood-based inference in dynamic macroeconomic models. The models can be nonlinear and/or non-normal. We describe how to use the output from the particle filter to estimate the structural parameters of the model, those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504323
This paper proposes a model that explains the nonneutrality of money from two well-documented psychological assumptions. The model incorporates into the general-equilibrium monopolistic-competition framework of Blanchard and Kiyotaki [1987] the psychological assumptions that (1) consumers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011096101