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learning by policymakers, who update their beliefs on the basis of their own experience and of the policies adopted by other … explains more than 90% of the variability of capital account policies. We find that over time beliefs about the growth effects … have changed slowly and not smoothly from negative to positive. However, at the outset of the Great Recession beliefs on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011165647
We analyze the joint dynamics of religious beliefs, scientific progress and coalitional politics along both religious … but sometimes erode religious beliefs; (ii) a government, endogenously in power, that can allow such innovations to spread …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011262883
educational bureaucracy. It is documented that the beliefs of that bureaucracy differ substantially from those of the broader … entropy defines how predictable one’s occupation is as a function of one’s beliefs. Heritability is the weight of the family …’s beliefs in the determination of the priors of a new generation. Both heritability and social entropy reduce the bias and makes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005011855
This paper presents a rational expectations model of optimal executive compensation in a setting where managers are in a position to manipulate short-term stock prices, and managers' propensity to manipulate is uncertain. Stock-based incentives elicit not only productive effort, but also costly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005014567
Under Medicare Part D, senior citizens choose prescription drug insurance offred by numerous private insurers. We examine non-poor enrollees' actions in 2006 and 2007 using panel data. Our sample reduced overspending by $298 on average, with gains by 81% of them. The greatest improvements were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322981
Ranking have become increasingly popular on markets for study programs, restaurants, wines, cars, etc. This paper analyses the welfare implication of such rankings. Consumers have to make a choice between two goods of unknown quality with exogenous presence or absence of an informative ranking....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009385758
This paper surveys the research in the past decade on imperfect information models of aggregate supply and the Phillips curve. This new work has emphasized that information is dispersed and disseminates slowly across a population of agents who strategically interact in their use of information....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468556
Recent evidence suggests that individuals do not always take notice of tax attributes when making their choices. This paper focuses on the case of tax relief for charitable contributions. Although a fully rational donor should view a matched payment to the receiving charity and a tax rebate of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468705
We survey theoretical developments in the literature on the limits of arbitrage. This literature investigates how costs faced by arbitrageurs can prevent them from eliminating mispricings and providing liquidity to other investors. Research in this area is currently evolving into a broader...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008530340
In this paper, I propose a model of rational inattention where the choice variable is a deterministic function of the exogenous variables, and still only a finite amount of information is being used. This holds provided the choice variable is discrete rather than continuous; that is, the mapping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008530353