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model, covering a panel of EU countries, and derives the implied long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667015
We examine whether credit contributes to business cycle fluctuations by directly affecting consumption rather than through the now well-understood investment channel. Examining UK data we argue that consumers face a rising interest rate schedule whereby additional borrowing leads to higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124444
We study liquidity trap dynamics driven by nonfundamental shifts in expectations in a model with nominal rigidities, housing, credit frictions and a Taylor rule. Highly leveraged borrowing through nominal debt backed by real estate collateral greatly magnifies the decline in output and house...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008921771
A fall in house prices due to a change in fundamental value redistributes wealth from those long housing (for whom the fundamental value of the house they own exceeds the present discounted value of their planned future consumption of housing services) to those short housing. In a representative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792518
The paper explores the influence of job security provisions on employment and unemployment. We show that this influence …’ bargaining power in wage negotiations. Specifically, costs of firing and hiring reduce employment and stimulate unemployment when … offers an explanation for Europe’s favourable unemployment performance vis-à-vis the United States in the 1950s and 1960s …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124142
unemployment: labour unions, supply shocks combined with real wage rigidity, and automation and trade combined with real wage … rigidity. The fourth and fifth sections deal with deficient demand and labour turnover costs as sources of unemployment. The … final section deals with unemployment dynamics. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497987
unemployment by lowering the aggregate job-finding rate. We use this framework to measure the contribution of mismatch to the … recent rise in U.S. unemployment by exploiting two sources of cross-sectional data on vacancies, JOLTS and HWOL, a new …/3 of the total observed increase in the unemployment rate, whereas geographical mismatch plays no apparent role. The share …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084321
and the unemployment rate in U.S. data since 1929. Second, it compares a new model of the economy developed in recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009351524
A salient feature of the recent U.S. recession is that output and employment have declined more in regions (states, counties) where household leverage had increased more during the credit boom. This pattern is difficult to explain with standard models of financing frictions. We propose a theory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009024926
An independent currency and a flexible exchange rate generally helps a country in adjusting to macroeconomic shocks. But recently in many countries, interest rates have been pushed down close to the lower bound, limiting the ability of policy-makers to accommodate shocks, even in countries with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083336