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This paper studies the generation and the transmission of international business cycles in a multi-country model with production and consumption interdependencies. Two sources of disturbances are considered and three channels for propagation of shocks are compared. Simulations are performed for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666585
I study whether and how US shocks are transmitted to eight Latin American countries. US shocks are identified using the procedure of Canova and De Nicolo’ (2002) and treated as exogenous with respect to Latin American economies. Posterior estimates for individual and average effects are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791431
This paper examines the question of which shock generates cyclical movements in output and inflation using an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792091
Egypt needs to diversify exports further in order to emerge from its isolation and to draw the maximum advantage from the growth potential offered by trade globalization. To what extent does the bilateral free trade agreement with the European Union encourage the transition from a rentier...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791201
This Paper introduces Heckscher-Ohlin trade features into a two-country DSGE model, and studies how productivity shocks propagate through trade in goods. In comparison with standard models, the business cycle properties of our framework are broadly compatible with the empirical evidence....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791955
We examine the effects of extracting monetary policy disturbances with semi-structural and structural VARs, using data generated by a limited participation model under partial accommodative and feedback rules. We find that, in general, misspecification is substantial: short run coefficients...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666752
Sign restrictions on the responses generated by structural vector autoregressive models have been proposed as an alternative approach to the use of exclusion restrictions on the impact multiplier matrix. In recent years such models have been increasingly used to identify demand and supply shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528526
This paper investigates the effects of introducing household production in an international real business cycle model. We show how a model driven by disturbances to the household production can account for some features of international cycles. A version of the model which considers shocks to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504316
In this Paper we measure the welfare cost of fluctuations in a simple representative agent economy with non-clearing markets. The market friction we consider involves price rigidities and a voluntary exchange-rationing scheme. These features are incorporated into an otherwise standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661781
This paper analyses the synchronization of business cycles between new and old EU members using various measures. The main findings are that Hungary, Poland and Slovenia have achieved a high degree of synchronization for GDP, industry and exports, but not for consumption and services. The other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792241