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version. Technically, the paper is based on the very elegant theory about stochastic ordering of (normalized) spacings and …. Proschan (1966, 1975) in the framework of reliability theory. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114323
The first generation models of currency crises have often been criticized because they predict that, in the absence of very large triggering shocks, currency attacks should be predictable and lead to small devaluations. This paper shows that these features of first generation models are not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136490
Trust in policy makers fluctuates significantly over the cycle and affects the transmission mechanism. Despite this it is absent from the literature. We build a monetary model embedding trust cycles; the latter emerge as an equilibrium phenomenon of a game-theoretic interaction between atomistic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011252623
International agreements to protect the global environment are typically difficult to reach. In principle they should be profitable for all players involved in the negotiation. Even when they are profitable, however, they are often unstable due to the incentive to free-ride (enjoying the clean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792083
We study a model where the aggregate trading of currency speculators reveals new information to the central bank and affects its policy decision. We show that the learning process gives rise to coordination motives among speculators leading to large currency attacks and introducing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468601
-term returns but negatively predicts long-term returns. Our theory thus provides a simple and unified framework within which to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008530349
We show experimentally that a principal's distrust in the voluntary performance of an agent has a negative impact on the agent's motivation to perform well. Before the agent chooses his performance, the principal in our experiment decides whether he wants to restrict the agents' choice set by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124063
. This result is stronger for organized industries, which further supports the theory. The main theoretical insights and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136624
What are the equilibrium features of a dynamic financial market where traders care about their reputation for ability? We modify a standard sequential trading model to study a financial market with career concerns. We show that this market cannot be informationally efficient: there is no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067667
An economy consists of many duopolistic markets. Firms must earn normal profits in the long run if they are to survive. Normal profits are interpreted as the long-run limit of average profits in the whole economy. We adopt the aspiration based model of firm behaviour, and link it to the economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504330