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We propose a new theory of the demographic transition based on the evidence that body development during childhood is an important predictor of adult life expectancy. Fertility, childhood development, longevity, education and income growth all result from individual decisions. Parents face a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124210
Long-run trends in Africa’s well-being are provided on the basis of a new index of human development, alternative to … experienced in other developing regions. Within Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa has fallen steadily behind the North since mid-20th …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322973
The measurement of national income has added greatly to our understanding of economic and social change in Europe over the past hundred years. But national income analysis does not take full account of changes in welfare and particularly of the causes and effects of long-term changes in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666852
The paper contributes to the debate on relative levels of living in the early modern world by estimating the income of and probable range of income growth in Bengal before European colonization. The exercise yields two conclusions, (a) average income in Bengal was significantly smaller than that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008577812
Whereas existing literature has documented strong correlations between national incomes and measures of schooling attainment, causality has been hard to pin down. Much of empirical work had tended to interpret these correlations as implying an effect of human capital on national income, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083727
I argue that distinguishing between life expectancy at birth and life expectancy beyond the crucial early childhood years affects the relationship between life expectancy and schooling in a meaningful way. In particular, I show that while the change in life expectancy at birth between 1960 and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009246607
This paper examines the economic rationale for concern about the falling rate of growth of Europe's population. It also assembles demographic and economic time-series data for the countries of Eastern and Western Europe during the postwar period. The consequences of demographic developments for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662094
This Paper analyses the effects of macroeconomic conditions throughout life on the individual mortality rate. We … estimate flexible duration models where the individual’s mortality rate depends on current conditions, conditions earlier in … health indicators. The results indicate a strong effect of macroeconomic conditions during childhood on mortality at all ages …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789099
. We provide evidence supporting these predictions using data on exogenous mortality reductions in the context of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005061474
This research advances an evolutionary growth theory that captures the pattern of life expectancy in the process of development, shedding new light on the sources of the remarkable rise in life expectancy since the Agricultural Revolution. The theory suggests that social, economic and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498168