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This Paper reviews the controversy over China’s exchange rate regime. Placing the issue in the context of the literature on exit strategies, it argues that now is the best time for China to exit from its peg. Moving to a managed float would be in the country’s own interest; it would help the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067647
fixes, a reasonably durable regime. However, most of the new stability is due to countries that float with an inflation … target. Though a few have left to join the Eurozone, no country has yet abandoned an inflation targeting regime under duress …. Inflation targeting now represents a serious alternative to a hard exchange rate fix for small economies seeking monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083734
reduce the budget deficit and lower the underlying rate of inflation. The paper develops an input-output model to investigate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497844
Previous time-series studies have shown evidence of mean-reversion in real exchange rates. Deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP) appear to have half-lives of approximately four years. The long samples required for statistical significance are unavailable for most currencies, however, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498061
It is often argued that the EMS is an effective disciplinary device for inflation-prone countries in the EEC, since it …-makers in high-inflation countries: the reason is that not only it attaches an extra penalty to inflation (in terms of … inflationary finance, we find that they will always prefer EMS membership. When the policy-maker needs revenue from the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791653
lower unemployment. Whether ‘work-sharing’ works – whether employment rises when hours per worker are reduced – is … standard hours, employment rose by 0.3–0.7%, but that total hours worked fell by 2–3%, implying possible output losses. As a … group, however, workers were better off as the wage bill rose. The employment growth implied by the mean standard hours …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666967
Germany in the EMS and is consistent with the evidence that membership has induced several countries to disinflate more than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791579
Japanese GDP per capita grew at an annual rate of 0.04 per cent between 725 and 1874, but the growth was episodic, with the increase in per capita income concentrated in three periods, 1150-1280, 1450-1600 and after 1730, interspersed with periods of stable per capita income. There is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272718
Whereas existing literature has documented strong correlations between national incomes and measures of schooling attainment, causality has been hard to pin down. Much of empirical work had tended to interpret these correlations as implying an effect of human capital on national income, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083727
The paper contributes to the debate on relative levels of living in the early modern world by estimating the income of and probable range of income growth in Bengal before European colonization. The exercise yields two conclusions, (a) average income in Bengal was significantly smaller than that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008577812