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commodity-exporting countries. We show that the introduction of hedging instruments such as futures and options enhances …This paper uses a dynamic optimization model to estimate the welfare gains of hedging against commodity price risk for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008577805
futures contracts. Their hedging demand is met by financial intermediaries who act as speculators, but are constrained in risk … 1980-2006, we show that producers’ hedging demand - proxied by their default risk - forecasts spot prices, futures prices …-taking. Increases (decreases) in producers’ hedging demand (the risk-bearing capacity of speculators) increase the costs of hedging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005016244
While most empirical analysis of prediction markets treats prices of binary options as predictions of the probability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136573
The UK pound left the ERM on 16 September 1992 after a period of turbulence. UK monetary policy soon shifted to lower short interest rates and an inflation target was announced. This paper uses daily option prices to estimate how the market’s probability distribution of the future Deutsche...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791268
We show that banks' cash flow exposure to interest rate risk, or income gap, plays a crucial role in their lending behavior following monetary policy shocks. In a first step, we show that the sensitivity of bank profits to interest rates increases significantly with their income gap, even when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145414
stochastic. It then uses the results to explain the dynamics of hedging. Bankruptcy rules are important determinants of corporate … produce the same prices, they can have very different hedging implications. We show that empirical results on the relation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123555
This paper proposes a theory of twin banking-currency crises in which both fundamentals and self-fulfilling beliefs play crucial roles. Fundamentals determine whether crises will occur. Self-fulfilling beliefs determine when they occur. The fundamental that causes ‘twin crises’ is government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123877
will allocate cash flows into cash holdings if their hedging needs are high (i.e., if the correlation between operating … if their hedging needs are low. The empirical examination of debt and cash policies of a large sample of firms reveals … hedging needs have a strong propensity to save cash out of cash flows while leaving their debt positions unchanged. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124183
A Capital Asset Pricing Model of a stock market economy is examined under different corporate governance structures in which the objectives of managers and entrepreneurs in choosing the risk composition of their firms' returns are not aligned with those of shareholders and investors because of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124325
Exchange risk hedging in a static (i.e. one-period) setting is extremely straightforward. The variance-minimizing hedge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136503