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between factor- and personal-income distribution are studied in the light of existing analytic results from the precautionary-savings … literature, and by numerical solution experiments. Aggregate savings are an increasing function of non-accumulated income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124028
Evidence on the effectiveness of financial education and formal savings account access is lacking, particularly for … shows the education plus account treatment increases bank savings relative to account-only. But survey-measured total … savings shows roughly equal increases across all treatment arms. Earned income also increases in all treatment arms. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084404
women. Here, using a randomized controlled trial, we examine whether access to an individually-held commitment savings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792103
We examine the allocation of hours of work across industrial sectors in OECD countries. We find large disparities across three sector groups, one that produces goods without home substitutes, and two others that have home substitutes but treated differently by welfare policy. We attribute the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008915806
We study liquidity trap dynamics driven by nonfundamental shifts in expectations in a model with nominal rigidities … greatly magnifies the decline in output and house prices during a liquidity trap recession. The amplification mechanism is … when leverage is small. We argue that the liquidity trap dynamics share some important features with the recent US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008921771
The best predictor of current investment at the firm level is lagged investment. This lagged-investment effect is empirically more important than the cash-flow and Q effects combined. We show that the specification of investment adjustment costs proposed by Christiano, Eichenbaum and Evans...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008925713
A salient feature of the recent U.S. recession is that output and employment have declined more in regions (states, counties) where household leverage had increased more during the credit boom. This pattern is difficult to explain with standard models of financing frictions. We propose a theory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009024926
This paper argues that the stock market crash of 2008, triggered by a collapse in house prices, caused the Great Recession. The paper has three parts. First, it provides evidence of a high correlation between the value of the stock market and the unemployment rate in U.S. data since 1929....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009351524
This paper is about the size of fiscal multipliers and the sources of recovery from the Great Depression. Its contributions begin with a new quarterly data set for the interwar period that allows development of a VAR model of the U. S. economy over the period 1920-41. The quarterly data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008677236
We analyze the relationship between asset prices and current account positions estimating a Bayesian VAR for a broad set of 42 industrialized and emerging market countries. To derive model-based identifying restrictions, we model asset price shocks as news shocks about future productivity in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008680756