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The empirical literature on nominal exchange rates shows that the current exchange rate is often a better predictor of future exchange rates than a linear combination of macroeconomic fundamentals. This result is behind the famous Meese-Rogoff puzzle. In this paper we evaluate whether parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004973971
This paper discusses the conditions under which currency unions would be desirable and viable. We discuss and present new empirical evidence concerning the operation of existing currency unions in federal states and among regional country groupings. In particular, we examine the traditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662119
The size and economic relevance of Europe may imply a new role for the EURO in the international financial markets. But will the EURO compete with the $US and the Yen for a place in the basket of international currencies? Will that induce a bipolar or indeed tri-polar system, and with what...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662141
*The European Union will enter Stage Three of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) in 1999. The development of euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662175
The single most important policy-induced innovation in the international financial system since the collapse of the Bretton-Woods regime is the institution of the European Monetary Union. This paper provides an account of how the process of financial integration has promoted financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662182
currently discussed on exchange rate dynamics in the transition phase towards Stage III of EMU. The conclusions from our … analysis may provide guidelines not only for the initial EMU members, but also for the countries that join at a later stage. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662330
This paper considers fiscal policy coordination in a European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). We use an overlapping … departures to be rather small. Two models are considered: EMU with one good; and a two-good EMU. We find that in the two-good EMU … with increased real interest rates - shared by all EMU countries - leads to an inefficient outcome in the non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662412
A smooth progression from Stage Two to Stage Three of EMU requires that the type of policy planned for Stage Three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666415
Europe (EMU), of which the single currency is the manifestation, has emerged in the context of a complex process of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666555
The interaction between a common monetary policy targeting inflation and decentralized fiscal policies aiming at output stability is considered in a setting taking into account interdependencies between countries running via trade links and the common monetary policy. The setting is sufficiently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666611