Showing 1 - 10 of 21
literature suggests that even in the absence of any ability to predict returns, holding options positions on the benchmark assets …. The enhancement from holding options can be substantial if the implied volatilities of the options are higher than the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468707
While most empirical analysis of prediction markets treats prices of binary options as predictions of the probability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136573
This paper is a selective survey of new or recent methods to extract information about market expectations from asset prices for monetary policy purposes. Traditionally, interest rates and forward exchange rates have been used to extract expected means of future interest rates, exchange rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504605
commodity-exporting countries. We show that the introduction of hedging instruments such as futures and options enhances …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008577805
empirically show that indeed portfolios of long Treasuries and short traded put options ("pseudo bonds") closely match the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145468
We study the effect of introducing a new security, such as a non-redundant derivative, on the volatility of stock-market returns. Our analysis uses a standard, continuous time, dynamic, general-equilibrium, full-information, frictionless, Lucas endowment economy where there are two classes of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114422
This paper shows that the informativeness principle does not automatically extend to settings with limited liability. Even if a signal is informative about effort, it may have no value for contracting. An agent with limited liability is paid zero for certain output realizations. Thus, even if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083536
The informativeness principle demonstrates qualitative benefits to increasing signal precision. However, it is difficult to quantify these benefits -- and compare them against the costs of precision -- since we typically cannot solve for the optimal contract and analyze how it changes with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083624
including global equities, global bonds, commodities, US Treasuries, credit, and options. This predictability rejects a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083673
. Options whose lives span political events tend to be more expensive. Such options provide valuable protection against the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084633