Showing 1 - 10 of 24
This paper investigates nonlinear features of FX volatility dynamics using estimates of daily volatility based on the sum of intraday squared returns. Measurement errors associated with using realized volatility to measure ex post latent volatility imply that standard time series models of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100557
The development of estimation and forecasting procedures using empirically realistic continuous-time stochastic volatility models is severely hampered by the lack of closed-form expressions for the transition densities of the observed returns. In response to this, Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100878
This note develops general model-free adjustment procedures for the calculation of unbiased volatility loss functions based on practically feasible realized volatility benchmarks. The procedures, which exploit the recent asymptotic distributional results in Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100986
Using realized volatility to estimate daily conditional volatility of financial returns, we compare forecasts of daily volatility from standard QML-estimated GARCH models, and from projections on past realized volatilities obtained from high-frequency data. We consider horizons extending to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101091
In this paper, we provide evidence on two alternative mechanisms of interaction between returns and volatilities: the leverage effect and the volatility feedback effect. We stress the importance of distinguishing between realized volatility and implied volatility, and find that implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855592
We employ a wavelet approach and conduct a time-frequency analysis of dynamic correlations between pairs of key traded assets (gold, oil, and stocks) covering the period from 1987 to 2012. The analysis is performed on both intra-day and daily data. We show that heterogeneity in correlations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272625
We develop a nonparametric estimator of the stochastic volatility density of a discretely-observed Ito semimartingale in the setting of an increasing time span and finer mesh of the observation grid. There are two steps. The first is aggregating the high-frequency increments into the realized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009359802
The paper examines volatility activity and its asymmetry and undertakes further specification analysis of volatility models based on it. We develop new nonparametric statistics using high frequency option-based VIX data to test for asymmetry in volatility jumps. We also develop methods to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009359805
The high-frequency analysis of foreign exchange dynamics is helpful in order to better identify the impact of central bank interventions. Evidence robustly shows that interventions do indeed move the exchange rate level in the desired direction. Interventions increase volatility in the short run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765791
We show that the compensation for rare events accounts for a large fraction of the average equity and variance risk premia. Exploiting the special structure of the jump tails and the pricing thereof we identify and estimate a new Investor Fears index. The index suggests both large and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008549030