Showing 1 - 10 of 372
We derive the optimal monetary policy in a sticky price model when private agents follow adaptive learning. We show … order to facilitate private sector learning and thus ease the future intratemporal inflation-output gap trade-offs. The … policy recommendation is robust: the welfare loss entailed by the optimal policy under learning if the private sector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008596587
This discussion paper led to a publication in the 'European Economic Review' (2013). Vol. 61, pp. 186-204.<P> Rational Expectations (RE) models have two crucial dimensions: 1) agents correctly forecast future prices given all available information, and 2) given expectations, agents solve...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256912
losses are outweighed by short term gains from the learning phase. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011155373
This paper performs a welfare analysis of economies with private information when public information is endogenously generated and agents can condition on noisy public statistics in the rational expectations tradition. Equilibrium is not (restricted) efficient even when feasible allocations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144884
This discussion paper led to a publication in 'Macroeconomic Dynamics' (2013). Vol. 17(8), pp. 1574-1604.<P> The recent macroeconomic literature stresses the importance of managing heterogeneous expectations in the formulation of monetary policy. We use a stylized macro model of Howitt (1992) to...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255558
We study the properties of generalized stochastic gradient (GSG) learning in forward-looking models. We examine how the … conditions for stability of standard stochastic gradient (SG) learning both differ from and are related to E-stability, which … governs stability under least squares learning. SG algorithms are sensitive to units of measurement and we show that there is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406017
structure, forecasts, and adaptive learning rules affect the conditions for convergence of adaptive learning towards rational …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005416506
This discussion paper resulted in a publication in <A HREF="http://link.springer.com/article/10.1023/A%3A1003253925406">'De Economist'</A>, 1998, 146, 59-89.<P> Since the 1950's economists applied game theoretical concepts to a wide variety of economic problems. The Nash equilibrium concept has proven to be a powerful instrument in analyzing the outcome of economic...</p></a>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257111
behavioral learning equilibria as a plausible explanation of coordination of individual expectations and aggregate phenomena such …. The simplicity of behavioral learning equilibria makes coordination of individual expectations on such an aggregate … outcome more likely. In a first application, an asset pricing model with AR(1) dividends, a unique behavioral learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257225
consider a simple real business cycle model with noisy learning by doing. The solution has a stationary distribution that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255583